<![CDATA[Talon Black: Geopolitical Insights]]>https://insider.talonblack.com/s/geopolitical-insightshttps://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!wo1p!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F54ce6e7e-2b3c-4bd8-b027-509123239465_432x432.pngTalon Black: Geopolitical Insightshttps://insider.talonblack.com/s/geopolitical-insightsSubstackSat, 11 Apr 2026 05:26:21 GMT<![CDATA[US Crime and Terrorism Risk Assessment]]>https://insider.talonblack.com/p/us-crime-and-terrorism-risk-assessment-oct-4-2025https://insider.talonblack.com/p/us-crime-and-terrorism-risk-assessment-oct-4-2025Mon, 29 Sep 2025 13:31:24 GMTWeek in Context

The United States confronts a paradox of public safety in late September 2025: while homicides plummet 17% nationally and violent crime reaches generational lows, dual mass shootings on September 28th—killing 7 and wounding 13 at a Michigan church and North Carolina waterfront—expose persistent vulnerabilities in America’s soft targets. T…

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]]><![CDATA[US Crime and Terrorism Risk Assessment]]>https://insider.talonblack.com/p/us-crime-and-terrorism-risk-assessment-sep-14-20-2025https://insider.talonblack.com/p/us-crime-and-terrorism-risk-assessment-sep-14-20-2025Wed, 17 Sep 2025 13:05:59 GMTNational security faces paradoxical dynamics as crime plummets while threats intensify

The United States confronts a security environment defined by contradictions during the week of September 14-20, 2025: violent crime continues its historic decline with homicides down 17% nationally through mid-year, yet terrorism incidents punctuate this progress with…

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]]><![CDATA[US Crime and Terrorism Risk Assessment ]]>https://insider.talonblack.com/p/us-crime-and-terrorism-risk-assessment-sep-08-2025https://insider.talonblack.com/p/us-crime-and-terrorism-risk-assessment-sep-08-2025Mon, 08 Sep 2025 13:03:33 GMTNational security enters critical inflection point

The United States faces a paradoxical security environment in September 2025: while violent crime plummets to near-historic lows with homicides down 17% nationally, a perfect storm of threats emerges from unprecedented cartel violence at the southern border, record-breaking cybercrime losses of $16.6 bil…

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]]><![CDATA[U.S. Security Risk AAR]]>https://insider.talonblack.com/p/us-security-risk-aarhttps://insider.talonblack.com/p/us-security-risk-aarTue, 15 Jul 2025 00:30:28 GMTSummary: Real-world crime and terrorism outcomes on July 14, 2025 largely aligned with weekly forecasts in overall trends but showed some localized deviations. Violent crime remained at comparatively lower levels than in recent years as forecasted, although multiple shooting incidents on this date underscored persistent gun violence in unexpected locale…

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]]><![CDATA[U.S. Security Risk Analysis]]>https://insider.talonblack.com/p/us-security-risk-analysishttps://insider.talonblack.com/p/us-security-risk-analysisMon, 14 Jul 2025 16:02:53 GMTSummary

  • Violent Crime: Moderate risk. National violent crime rates are declining from pandemic-era peaks, but gun violence remains a concern in many communities. Summer months (including mid-July) historically bring higher violent crime, requiring continued vigilance.

  • Property Crime: Moderate risk. Property crimes (burglary, theft, auto theft) are widespr…

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]]><![CDATA[Weekly U.S. Crime and Terrorism Risk]]>https://insider.talonblack.com/p/weekly-us-crime-and-terrorism-risk-0b2https://insider.talonblack.com/p/weekly-us-crime-and-terrorism-risk-0b2Mon, 07 Jul 2025 12:02:00 GMTThis week’s intelligence report highlights the continuing high-alert posture across the United States in the aftermath of last month’s Iran conflict. Even after a ceasefire was declared between Iran and Israel in late June, U.S. authorities remain deeply concerned about potential Iranian-linked threats inside the homeland. Iran’s Supreme Leader publicly…

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]]><![CDATA[Weekly U.S. Crime and Terrorism Risk]]>https://insider.talonblack.com/p/weekly-us-crime-and-terrorism-risk-03ahttps://insider.talonblack.com/p/weekly-us-crime-and-terrorism-risk-03aMon, 23 Jun 2025 12:04:46 GMTThis week’s intelligence report highlights escalating concerns over Iranian-linked threats inside the United States, amid new military conflict involving Iran. Federal authorities have issued heightened warnings of potential Iranian proxy or “sleeper cell” activity, as well as cyberattacks and influence operations targeting U.S. interests. Law enforceme…

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