Talon Black

Talon Black

Financial Risk

US Daily Financial Risk Assessment

September 16, 2025

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Talon Black
Sep 16, 2025
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Context for Today

Markets enter Monday displaying unprecedented divergence between record equity indices and deteriorating fundamentals, with S&P 500 futures pointing 0.12% higher at 6,628 ahead of tomorrow's pivotal FOMC decision. The VIX compression to 15.20 represents dangerous complacency, residing 2.8 standard deviations below its 2025 average despi…

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